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- HKTDC raises 2026 export forecast amid AI boom, Strong technology demand and resilient supply chains underpin growthHONG KONG, Sept 28, 2026 - The Hong Kong Trade Development Council (HKTDC) has substantially revised upward its forecast for Hong Kong's merchandise export growth in 2026 to 42%-47%, following significantly stronger-than-expected global demand for artificial intelligence (AI)-related technologies, prompting a major upgrade to the trade outlook. Meanwhile, the latest HKTDC Export Confidence Index (3Q26) indicates that exporter sentiment remains broadly positive despite ongoing geopolitical uncertainties. The Current Performance Index stood at 51.8, while the Expectation Index registered 51.3, with both remaining above the neutral 50-point threshold. HKTDC Director of Research Bruce Pang (left), Deputy Director of Research Wing Chu (centre) and Section Head of Special Project & Business Advisory Kenneth Lee (right) announced the latest Hong Kong’s export outlook for 2026 and HKTDC Export Confidence Index for the third quarter of the year at a press conference today. AI-driven electronics exceed expectations Commenting on the export outlook, HKTDC Director of Research, Bruce Pang, said: "The strong Hong Kong export growth recorded this year has been driven primarily by the rapid acceleration of global demand for AI-related products and infrastructure. Demand for semiconductors, memory chips, computer components, telecommunications equipment and other advanced electronics expanded much faster than expected, providing substantial support to Hong Kong's exports." HKTDC Director of Research Bruce Pang Electronics remained the dominant growth engine, accounting for approximately 80% of Hong Kong's total exports in the first eight months of 2026. Exports of electronics rose by 52.8% year-on-year, significantly outpacing overall export growth. Major markets included the Chinese Mainland, ASEAN and the US, reflecting strong demand across global technology supply chains. Particularly notable was the strong performance of items related to growing investments in AI infrastructure, cloud computing, data centres and next-generation digital technologies worldwide. AI-related electronics now account for an increasingly significant share of Hong Kong's exports. Growth with broader regional trade flows throughout Asia The strong export performance has not been confined to a narrow range of technology items. HKTDC Deputy Director of Research, Wing Chu, said: "Exports of a broad range of conventional electronic parts and components have continued to perform strongly. Regional manufacturing networks spanning the Chinese Mainland and ASEAN economies remain highly active, supporting vigorous trade flows throughout Asia. At the same time, export performance across many traditional industries has remained broadly stable, reflecting continued overseas demand and resilient consumption in major markets." HKTDC Deputy Director of Research Wing Chu ASEAN continues to be one of Hong Kong's most dynamic export destinations, while exporter sentiment towards both ASEAN and the Chinese Mainland remains firmly positive. Regional trade flows across Asia have remained exceptionally strong amid the ongoing technology upcycle, demonstrating the resilience of regional production networks and supply chains. The Chinese Mainland's high-technology manufacturing sector has remained in expansion territory, helping sustain demand for electronic components and related intermediate goods. Exports remain robust amid evolving US trade policies Recent developments in US trade policy have introduced additional uncertainty into the global trading environment. In July, the United States imposed an additional 12.5% Section 301 tariff on imports from a number of trading partners, including the Chinese Mainland and Hong Kong. Nevertheless, Hong Kong's exports to the United States have remained remarkably resilient, with US-bound exports rising by 63.4% year-on-year in the first eight months of 2026. Bruce Pang added: "While the latest Section 301 tariff measures have added a degree of uncertainty for businesses, the direct impact on Hong Kong exports is expected to be limited. A substantial share of Hong Kong's exports to the United States consists of products covered by tariff exemption arrangements, particularly in the technology and electronics sectors.” “Recent developments in China-US relations have also helped improve the trade environment. The September Xi-Trump meeting and extension of the trade truce until January 2027, coupled with the US$30 billion Reciprocal Tariff Reduction Arrangement, provide a welcome period of stability, reducing the risk of further tariff escalation in the coming months. The extended policy dialogue between the two sides has also led to further easing in bilateral trade tensions. Together with the continued strength of global demand for technology products, these developments should help underpin Hong Kong's export performance in the months ahead." Hong Kong moving up the value chain Beyond the cyclical upswing in technology demand, recent trade developments also point to a significant structural transformation in Hong Kong's trade profile. According to HKTDC research, Hong Kong's exports are increasingly concentrated in high-value, technology-intensive products such as integrated circuits, computer parts and advanced telecommunications equipment. These products are progressively replacing traditional lower-value, bulk merchandise as key contributors to export growth. At the same time, Hong Kong's trade logistics pattern is undergoing a profound shift, as the growing importance of high-value items, such as semiconductors and luxury products, has increased reliance on air freight. Hong Kong's extensive air cargo network, combined with its close land transport connectivity with advanced manufacturing clusters in Southern China, has strengthened its position as a leading high-value international trade and logistics hub, as pledged in Hong Kong’s First Five-Year Plan. Wing Chu said: "Hong Kong is increasingly handling products that are compact in size but exceptionally high in value, which are frequently transported via a combination of air cargo services serving overseas destinations and land transport links connecting Hong Kong with manufacturing centres in the Chinese Mainland. This transformation highlights Hong Kong's evolution from a traditional trading gateway into a high-value-added international trade and supply chain management centre." Outlook remains constructive Looking ahead, the HKTDC expects Hong Kong's exports to maintain solid momentum through the remainder of 2026, supported by resilient global demand for technology products, and robust manufacturing and trade activities across the Chinese Mainland and other major destinations, such as ASEAN. Nevertheless, exporters will continue to navigate a challenging and uncertain external environment. HKTDC Section Head of Special Project & Business Advisory, Kenneth Lee, said: "Businesses continue to face a range of external headwinds like geopolitical tensions, volatility in energy and commodity markets, and rising protectionist measures in certain economies. Despite these challenges, international consumption has remained relatively resilient in recent months, helping sustain demand for a broad range of consumer products. As a result, sectors such as clothing, watches and clocks, and jewellery have continued to deliver stable export performance alongside the strong growth seen in technology-related industries." HKTDC Section Head of Special Project & Business Advisory Kenneth Lee References - Hong Kong’s 2026 Export Outlook: Hong Kong Export Growth Forecast Upgraded to 42%-47% https://research.hktdc.com/en/article/MjQzNzY3NzQ4Mg - HKTDC Export Confidence Index 3Q26: Sentiment remains broadly positive https://research.hktdc.com/en/article/MjQzNzY3MzkyMw - Hong Kong's Evolution into a High Value-Added Trade Hub https://research.hktdc.com/en/article/MjQzOTM2OTY1MQ - HKTDC Research website https://research.hktdc.com/en/ Photo download: https://bit.ly/4rD4M8f Media enquiries Please contact the HKTDC’s Communications and Public Affairs Department: Christy Lee Tel: (852) 2584 4369 Email: [email protected] About HKTDC The Hong Kong Trade Development Council (HKTDC) celebrates its 60th anniversary this year. The HKTDC is a statutory body established in 1966 to promote, assist and develop Hong Kong's trade. With over 50 offices globally, including 13 in the Chinese Mainland, the HKTDC promotes Hong Kong as a two-way global investment and business hub. The HKTDC organises international exhibitions, conferences and business missions to create business opportunities for companies, particularly small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), in the mainland and international markets. The HKTDC also provides up-to-date market insights and product information via research reports and digital news channels. For more information, please visit: www.hktdc.com/aboutus.
- China Quantum Computing Market Outlook Report 2026-2031 | Government Investment, Software Innovation and Demand Across Finance, Healthcare and Security Accelerate OpportunitiesGovernment funding, hardware advances and software ecosystems are accelerating quantum adoption in cybersecurity, finance, drug discovery, manufacturing and logistics
- CTP signs 24,400 sqm lease with Romstal at CTPark Bucharest SouthAMSTERDAM, September 28, 2026--Regulatory News: CTP, Europe’s largest listed developer, owner and operator of logistics and industrial real estate by gross lettable area (GLA), has leased 24,400 sqm at CTPark Bucharest South in Romania to Romstal, one of the country’s leading distributors of construction installation equipment.
- AccentureAccenture and osapiens Make DS Smith’s Global Supply Chain More Transparent and Ready for Evolving EU RegulationCompanies: AccentureNEW YORK & MANNHEIM, Germany, September 28, 2026--Accenture and osapiens make DS Smith’s global supply chain more transparent and ready for evolving EU regulation.
- Foro de Medios de Asia-Pacífico (APMF): diálogo sobre crecimiento y prosperidadRecientemente se celebró en Shenzhen, en la provincia de Guangdong, el Foro de Medios de Asia-Pacífico bajo el lema «Cómo construir conjuntamente un camino próspero para la comunidad de Asia-Pacífico: consenso y acción de los medios». El evento estuvo a cargo del Departamento de Publicidad del Comité Central del Partido Comunista Chino, de la Agencia de Noticias Xinhua y del Gobierno Popular de la provincia de Guangdong, y fue organizado por el Gobierno Popular del municipio de Shenzhen.
- Yan’an Apple Price Index Debuts in Shanghai: Unlocking Fair, Quality-Based Fruit PricingThe latest operational results of the Xinhua China (Yan’an) Apple Price Index were officially unveiled at the 2026 Xinhua Index Autumn Harvest Launch and Agricultural Strategy Summit, a high-profile industry event held in Shanghai on September 19. Tailored for Yan’an’s characteristic apple industry, the index is built on real, verified transaction records sourced directly from local primary producing areas. It continuously tracks and analyzes dynamic price movements of apples across different fruit diameters and quality grades throughout the sales cycle. Serving as an objective and data-backed market analysis tool, it delivers reliable price trend references and industry insights for local fruit farmers, warehousing operators, and domestic and foreign trading merchants, effectively standardizing market judgment criteria for the entire industrial chain.
- From Warehouses to Sidewalks: Seyond Scales LiDAR for the Next Generation of RoboticsSeyond will showcase how premium, production-ready LiDAR is supporting robotics at IROS 2026.
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- AmazonAmazon announces new tools and services to help sellers go global from day oneCompanies: AmazonOnly 30% of Amazon sellers list in more than one country. New capabilities spanning compliance, logistics, and the selling experience are designed to change that.
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- SAPSAP AppHaus Network Partner Bluestonex Builds the Bridge: From Inspiration to Hands-On AI InnovationCompanies: SAPTwo different showcases shed light on different applications and scenarios from the retail and supply chain industries.
- AmazonMerchants can now add fast, free Prime delivery to their own websites and save up to 25% on fulfillment fees with Amazon Supply Chain ServicesCompanies: AmazonAmazon Supply Chain Services customers who enroll in Multichannel Fulfillment, along with merchants already using MCF, can now add the Prime badge and delivery to their websites and separately save 15-25% on fulfillment fees.